We can build cities on the Moon—but who will govern them?
AUTHORS: RACHEL WILLIAMS AND JATAN MEHTA
Amid a global lunar rush, will we land peaceful norms alongside our spacecraft?
Last week SpaceX and its founder Elon Musk flipped their stance on the Moon from treating it as a distraction to positioning it as central to their idea of preserving our civilization—after more than two decades of emphasizing mars as the primary destination . The stated rationale for change and the catalyst involves building a Moonbase and a self-growing city within 10 years that can power lunar factories and launch orbital AI data centers, the latter part being the backdrop to SpaceX’s acquisition of xAI.
Even though elements of these visions remain speculative, such ambitious announcements carry real repercussions on lunar governance and global policy. SpaceX’s move is neither self-driven nor made in isolation. Last year, seeing China’s steady strides towards landing humans on the Moon by 2030, the US government sought to accelerate its delayed Artemis efforts to land astronauts before China. NASA reopened the Artemis III landing contract. Jeff Bezos-owned Blue Origin bid for it and also decided to pause its other internal projects to focus the company’s resources and efforts on the Moon. Industry momentum toward the Moon is part of a broader global trajectory.
This development is significant. The last ten years have seen a global interest in lunar exploration, with multiple countries sending diverse missions. Many more are in the pipeline, with the majority of them converging at the water-hosting lunar south pole and in low lunar polar orbit. Continued mission successes by China and renewed focus from the US and its partners will likely accelerate activity further. The economic and scientific implications of any sustained lunar infrastructure could be immense. Regardless of the near-term feasibility, just the fact that public commitments of large scale lunar development are being made by players with theoretical capacities to reach the Moon in substantial forms is enough to affect and alter international policy and regulatory landscapes on Earth.
Amid such heated competition and accelerating timelines of humanity’s future, early precedents — how actors share information, access resources, understand land usage and rights, and regulate infrastructure could shape global lunar activity for decades to come. These practices could either enable broad participation or gate future access. It could also gravely affect fundamental lunar science in the process, which is also tied to understanding the Solar System itself.
To counter the many consequences of unilaterally-led large-scale lunar activities by any party, peaceful governance norms and practical coordination mechanisms must develop alongside technological progress. The US has historically favored de facto practices over multilateral agreement in space. Norms set through the Artemis Accords by the US or its Artemis partners would not apply to the non-signatory China. Vice versa is also true. In such low-trust environments, it’s critical that operating parties share minimum viable information and coordinate their activities through the UN and complementary neutral platforms to avoid operational overlaps and disputes over lunar areas and its resources.
Middle space powers including India and Japan can play crucial swing roles by intentionally shaping norms through their capabilities and partnerships. Two such upcoming missions have exactly such potential: India’s Chandrayaan 4 sample return and the joint ISRO-JAXA LUPEX rover, both heading to the south pole. In such ways, we can begin to place mutually beneficial governance frameworks early enough, gradually building trust through transparency for a peaceful future in our skies.
The Moon is an object of hope for cultures all around the world. Retaining that shared meaning requires that governance evolves alongside technological progress.
Rachel Williams is the Executive Director of the Open Lunar Foundation, a US-based non-profit forging and promoting technical and policy building blocks for cooperative and peaceful lunar exploration globally.
Jatan Mehta is a globally published & cited space writer and author of Moon Monday, the world’s only blog & newsletter dedicated to covering lunar exploration developments by countries worldwide.